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I've just been reading "How We Know What isn't so" by Gilovitch (sp?)
and found out where the oft quoted "over 50% of marriages end in
divorce" comes from.

It comes from people dividing the number of divorces by the number
of marriages in a given year!

It seems to me with this logic, we could divide the number of deaths
by the number of births in a given year to get the probability of
a birth eventually ending in death.

Thus, we may find that something like: "52% of all births will end
in death"!!

This is great!!, I always thought it was 100%.

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